Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 413.423465 468.908653 530.198710 603.112149 687.733426 783.137019 899.245205
2026-02-08 328.028613 400.627584 487.923122 601.391490 746.096379 925.951909 1168.737204
2026-02-15 278.451381 357.061335 457.069301 595.103533 782.981462 1033.115879 1396.974948
2026-02-22 247.432924 329.985534 439.924561 599.345556 828.447521 1151.758270 1653.378307
2026-03-01 219.373018 302.173316 416.699810 589.788069 850.259964 1236.701392 1870.956494
2026-03-08 198.395281 281.168465 399.562186 585.238698 876.531717 1328.922962 2111.140138
2026-03-15 176.376006 256.015085 373.197283 562.856259 871.236437 1369.565710 2271.608366
2026-03-22 167.745393 249.628524 373.732351 581.377026 932.095253 1523.530358 2648.765447
2026-03-29 161.269781 245.707569 377.328996 604.662386 1003.000585 1703.256051 3102.655094
2026-04-05 150.970103 234.689844 368.375834 605.707049 1035.092432 1818.046379 3452.689767
2026-04-12 139.172518 220.164389 352.240315 592.433707 1039.465422 1881.592281 3710.402502
2026-04-19 129.074586 207.573937 338.147706 581.103861 1045.661644 1948.682227 3986.245634
2026-04-26 124.158709 203.470275 338.439926 596.319493 1105.201081 2131.535118 4555.093064
2026-05-03 116.975572 194.888386 330.160148 594.738330 1131.683224 2251.029816 5005.487726
2026-05-10 109.830190 185.774774 320.081579 588.523966 1147.720441 2350.191396 5427.102445
2026-05-17 104.809983 180.042199 315.621360 592.712625 1185.737582 2502.893497 6014.874001
2026-05-24 98.444516 171.369938 304.947519 583.275956 1193.162958 2586.849798 6441.112589
2026-05-31 93.250593 164.483294 297.089304 578.784004 1210.854959 2697.412385 6964.748549
2026-06-07 86.407124 154.026352 281.547581 556.683117 1185.979828 2701.064822 7185.389219
2026-06-14 84.677725 153.190441 284.772676 574.971021 1257.031906 2955.040404 8207.598207
2026-06-21 83.506268 153.333118 289.927174 597.962100 1342.342545 3260.435118 9472.688560
2026-06-28 80.151853 148.933969 285.482900 598.993523 1373.869641 3427.515456 10335.789474
2026-07-05 75.673423 141.997734 275.281587 585.888174 1368.146028 3490.870547 10864.294592